Hi RIP friends,
I’m finding new fancy bloggy ways to procrastinate writing about important stuff! This time it’s a thought experiment being run in the UK FIRE community this month, where bloggers are invited to participate.
The thought experiment is the following:
“What Would You Do If You Got Given £1 Million?“
Originally proposed by The Saving Ninja, this idea is not new in the FIRE community. It’s actually a recurrent one. I remember a similar thought experiment slightly more than a year ago launched by Give, Earn, Live, focusing more on investing: “How To Invest A Million $“. I wanted to join back then, but I was too busy so I skipped.
It’s time to kill two birds with a
First of all let’s talk about currency.
Saving Ninja asks about GBP. A Million GBP is equivalent to 1.12M EUR.
Give Earn Live asks about USD. A Million USD correspond to 875k EUR.
I’m going to use EUR, which is currently exactly in between: 1M EUR = 1142k USD = 890k GBP
Ok, let’s answer to the question: What Would You Do If You Got Given €1 Million?
Instinctive answer would be bad-ass, Warren Buffett style.
I once read (don’t remember where, though) that Warren Buffett was asked a similar question:
Q: “Mr. Buffett, what would you do if you suddenly receive 1M USD to invest?”
WB: “I’d invest all of it in a S&P500 index funds. Next question please.”
But of course a million is nothing to W.B., it doesn’t change anything in his grand scheme.
To the RIPs an extra Million EUR would, all of a sudden:
- More than double our wealth.
- Make us cross our current Italian FIRE Number, and reach 150% FIRE.
- Makes us reach our current Swiss FIRE Number.
We would achieve so many milestones all at once, it’s not just another Million to throw on top of our money pile!
Ok, let’s get started!
The First Day
It’s Monday morning, we’ve just completed the wake up routine with Baby RIP, singing her favorite good morning song, and playing with her. I’m preparing myself for work while instinctively checking my bank account. There’s 1 extra Million EUR (tax exempted) gift.
First thing I’d do is to sit down, check 10 times the account balance, call my bank to be sure it’s not an error, and maybe verify the origin of the money and that they’re actually tax free.
Then I’ll let myself feel pure adrenaline, dopamine, oxytocin – you name it – flowing thru my body. Whoaaaaaaah!! Ok, back to normal. Shitty hedonistic adaptation…
Next, I’ll take the day off from work and tell Mrs RIP to put on her best dress because we’re going to have a luxurious lunch somewhere in town. I’ll tell her what just happened to us, while sipping a glass of Champagne. Then I’ll tell her the same stuff few more times since I’m sure she won’t believe me at first. But at one point she will, and that’s when the music will fade in and we start dancing at the restaurant under startling eyes.
We have the resources to execute our plans, and some more. Maybe. Plans change. According to Parkinson’s law in finance: “wants expand so as to fill the resource available for their satisfaction”.
Anyway, no decision is taken on day one. In the end it is possible that this is just a dream. Let’s keep expectations low. In the meantime: garçon, another bottle of champagne. Merci!
Of course I’d not tell anyone about our windfall, not even our parents and relatives.
Just my blog readers. Nobody will know about it!
On concrete level, our Net Worth will jump from 875k to 1.875M EUR, with 1.05M in cash.
Our current FIRE Number in EUR is 1.2M, but I know it’s time to make a major revision to our “Retire somewhere in Europe” plan, and I’m crowd-sourcing it.
Our current spending level in Switzerland projects us to 1.8M CHF = 1.6M EUR, which means we could be FI in Switzerland too, even though expenses would grow by at least 50% if we stay in Switzerland with children.
The First Week
I would go to work the entire first week (excluding day one, assuming it’s Monday). Both because I want to feel what’s like to go to work when you don’t have to, and because I don’t know if I’d actually stop worki… HAHAHAHA!
Ok, relax RIP, it’s just a thought experiment.
I would not keep working at Hooli for long, that’s one thing I know for sure. Probably I would not quit immediately: I might slow down to a part time position for a while, I might delay quitting by few months to catch some stock vesting / bonus event. Anyway, it’s just a matter of time.
During the first week I’d like to observe myself: how would I react to work duties when I don’t need the monetary rewards anymore? I expect some differences but not many. I’m already in a position where I could quit and spend next 10-20 years without having to worry. We could already be semiFI in Switzerland, leanFIRE almost everywhere in the Western world, and fatFIRE everywhere else.
With the extra million it would be different though. We’d be FI (fat or not) almost everywhere in the world. Working would really be completely optional, no more needed.
During the first week, maybe first few weeks, I’d like to see if there’s a clear plan for our family’s future. So far, we’re postponing the big decision further in time. Ironically, having more money may highlight the “let’s retire in Switzerland” option, which is one of the few scenarios where we would not be fully FI yet!
Even in case the Swiss option would appear to be dominating, I’d plan my exit strategy from Hooli and probably from my software engineering career. I’m close to burnout, I need to take a unilateral, indeterminate break from my current career. That doesn’t prevent me to keep coding for fun, but I won’t want to do for anybody else’s cause.
The First Month
I’d have probably finalized my exit strategy from work. Maybe not publicly announced yet, in case I’ll be waiting for bonus/stocks, but internally 100% finalized.
In case the Swiss option is winning, I’d go for a temporary slow-down (50-60%) at Hooli while figuring out next steps. In case such a hard slow-down is rejected, I’d probably quit anyway. Going 80% is pretty common and socially accepted (and approved by managers) most of the time. Going 50-60% is a different game though. I know very few Hooli employees who do that. I’d aim to 50-60% because I’ve already been working 80% for 9 months. It’s been awesome, but still not enough for me.
By the end of the first month I would also have handled the jackpot money, the Million. Of course the actual allocation would depend on the final strategy, but still some steps could be taken. Is our spending level going to increase once we are 150% (fat)FI in Italy for example? Is our investing strategy going to be more conservative once we’re 150% (fat)FI? Are we really FI if we decide to live in Switzerland forever? Answering these questions would impact how the windfall is allocated.
A step that could be taken anyway is to open a second (and maybe a third) brokerage account with a different broker. I’m going to invest more money and I’d like to diversify at intermediary level. I don’t want a single entity to handle all my money. I’m willing to accept some extra fees, but I’d open a second account. Maybe Degiro, maybe CornerTrader, I don’t know yet. In case we already decided the target country, I’d check what’s more efficient in that country. For example, if I know I’m moving to Italy I’d go with Fineco.
Anyway, let’s try to allocate this Million, assuming current plans (moving to Italy) will hold:
- 100k cash – I’d like to increase our cash cushion. We’d be more than 100% FI, so I’d be fine with a safer allocation. I’d handle cash as a buffer to withdraw from when the market sinks. I know it’s a strategy with lower expected returns, but it’s also a strategy with lower risks.
- 200k short term investments (probably more cash) – if we decide to move out of Switzerland and go to Italy it may make sense to purchase the property where we want to live, or build our own house. I’m not a huge fan of home-ownership, but in some countries (like Italy) it still makes sense. Low taxes on primary residence and high rents. Not sure though, I may reallocate this amount to investments, or cash.
- 600k regular investments – of course I’d throw more money into investments. I’ll probably touch our asset allocation strategy a bit, according to our new FIRE number. The fatter our FIRE, the less riskier our strategy would be.
- 100k crazy bets – Cryptos (maybe), p2p lending, angel investing on startups, individual stocks… I’d play some bet with a fraction of our windfall. Maybe not 100k, but at least 50k.
What you don’t see here?
No money to family and friends. Well, of course we would not tell anyone about the windfall. Nobody would know. Yes, we’re going to make visible life changes, but that’s going to happen anyway and they kind of suspect/know it. Plus, our families are not in need of money and even if some relative is, we’re against lending money to family and friends. Of course we might be a bit more generous next Christmas, but not much more than that.
No giving, no donating to charities. I still need to make up my mind about the giving thing. I’ll write about it one day. I don’t like giving money to charities, I see it as an inefficient way of doing good. I want to give as much as I can to as many people as I can, but I don’t think about giving money now. Plus, I generally don’t trust charities unless I know them personally. I know about Effective Altruism, but that’s also controversial (even though a good starting point).
No stupid splurge spending. Apart from the fancy restaurant and the Champagne bottle on day 1. Yeah, we’ll probably spend some money stupidly on stuff, but nothing that makes a dent in this allocation.
Are we so selfish and greedy? Well, I wouldn’t say that.
To compensate for our extreme rationality with the Million, I’d establish a temporary financial anarchy with our monthly cash flow: I would like to see a saving rate of 0% while still working full time, until the actual Early Retirement date. I would like to see all the money we would have saved (and invested) being allocated to “whatever“. Spent randomly on one-off splurges, and given to people in need if we feel like giving.
And if we find ourselves unable to spend all our income (old habits die hard), what’s left after splurges would be accumulated into a “sabbatical fund” that we’re going to enjoy soon. see below.
The First 3-6 Months (while still working)
Leaving my job would take some time, few months at least. I assume 3-6 months after the Million.
During first 3-6 month I would love to have mid/long term plans finalized. What are we going to do with our lives? Are we staying in Switzerland, move back to Italy, or consider a third option? It’s a tough question. We may be able to answer this question or not yet, even after having quit my career for good!
Either way I’d like to plan for a long sabbatical/vacation to celebrate/explore. I’d like to spend 3-6 months exploring options (in case we wouldn’t have decided yet), or celebrating our freedom. That extended trip would be covered by the sabbatical fund, i.e. savings during last months of work.
The exploracation (which I though I coined the term but apparently I didn’t) goal would be to try out few candidate destinations for 1-2 months each one. The celebracation (not even this one, f**k!) would be slow traveling in Europe or something like that.
The “sabbatical from life”, whatever form it will take, would probably happen immediately after having quit Hooli.
After the Sabbatical
That’s a blank slate. That’s after FI life. That’s chapter 2 of our lives.
I have so many ideas on how to invest my time, things I’d like to do, projects I’d like to kick off… but I know many more things will be coming.
But that’s a story for a future post 🙂
What would you do with an extra Million?